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BUILT BYCerebrohives
BooksUNNECO 512

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Unlocking Trade-Led Growth in West Africa:  The Moderating Role of Institutional Quality  in a Dynamic Panel Analysis

ECO 512: UNLOCKING TRADE-LED GROWTH IN WEST AFRICA: THE MODERATING ROLE OF INSTITUTIONAL QUALITY IN A DYNAMIC PANEL ANALYSIS

ByAnthony Orji
SchoolUniversity of Nigeria, Nsukka
DepartmentEconomics
CategoryAcademic JournalsResearch Papers
Levels100200300400500600Post Graduate
₦ 3000
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Description

This study examines the conditional effect of trade liberalization on economic growth in West

Africa, with a particular focus on the moderating influence of institutional quality. A panel dataset

covering 16 West African countries over the period 2017–2022 is employed to estimate a dynamic growth

model using the System Generalized Method of Moments (System-GMM), which effectively addresses

endogeneity and growth persistence. Robustness checks are conducted using Pooled Ordinary Least

Squares (POLS) and Fixed Effects (FE) estimators. The results reveal three key findings. First, trade

liberalization has a positive and statistically significant effect on economic growth in the region. Second,

although institutional quality exhibits a negative direct effect, likely due to short-run adjustment and

compliance costs, the interaction between institutional quality and trade liberalization is positive and

strongly significant, demonstrating that governance effectiveness is critical for harnessing the growth

benefits of openness. Third, the negative coefficient estimates for financial development and

industrialization indicate structural inefficiencies, including credit misallocation and a continued

dependence on low-value, resource-based production. Overall, the findings suggest that while West

Africa possesses substantial potential for trade-driven development, meaningful gains remain constrained

by weak institutional capacity and limited structural transformation. The study recommends targeted

governance reforms, improved regulatory enforcement, strategic reallocation of financial resources

toward high-value export sectors, and accelerated industrial diversification to ensure that trade

liberalization translates into sustained, inclusive economic growth.