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BooksUNNECO 512

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Empirical Analysis of the Nexus between  Crude Oil Price Volatility and Selected  Economic Sectors in Nigeria

ECO 512: EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE NEXUS BETWEEN CRUDE OIL PRICE VOLATILITY AND SELECTED ECONOMIC SECTORS IN NIGERIA

ByAnthony Orji
SchoolUniversity of Nigeria, Nsukka
DepartmentEconomics
CategoryAcademic JournalsResearch Papers
Levels100200300400500600Post Graduate
₦ 3000
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Description

Fluctuations in the global price of crude oil has become a major concern for

many economies who depend majorly on oil export for foreign exchange earnings. This

study therefore investigates the impact of crude oil price volatility on some selected

economic sectors (transport, agricultural and manufacturing sectors) in Nigeria from

1981q1 to 2015q4. Adopting the exponential generalized autoregressive

heteroskedasticity (EGARCH) model, the empirical result shows that a certain period of

low volatility is followed by another period of low volatility. Meanwhile, a period of high

volatility is followed by another period of high volatility. Crude oil price has a negative

impact and is statistically significant to transportation sector, manufacturing output, and

agricultural sector respectively. Based on the findings, the study recommends that the

government should reform the economy and diversify her export revenue base as a means

of minimizing reliance on crude oil and petroleum product. Some of these reforms include

fiscal prudence, reform in budgetary operations, export diversification, revival of non-oil

sectors, which will further shield the economy from the impact of oil price fluctuations.

The study further recommends that policy makers of net oil exporting countries like

Nigeria should give support to the restructuring of their economies in such a way that

their non-export will boost their domestic economy.