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BooksUNNECO 512

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Did the global financial crisis alter the oil–gasoline price relationship?

ECO 512: DID THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS ALTER THE OIL–GASOLINE PRICE RELATIONSHIP?

ByAnthony Orji
SchoolUniversity of Nigeria, Nsukka
DepartmentEconomics
CategoryAcademic JournalsResearch Papers
Levels100200300400500600Post Graduate
₦ 3000
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Description

This paper investigated the oil–gasoline price relationship in the UK and USA follow-

ing the 2007–2008 global financial crisis. The dummy variable approach to testing for

structural break and the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag approach for model-

ing asymmetry cointegrating relationships were used. The findings indicate that the

crisis induced significant structural break in this relationship in both countries. For the

UK, we find strong evidence of rockets and feathers effect plus the possibility of firms

using the tax system to hide rent-seeking behavior before and after the crisis, which

means that the results of Greenwood-Nimmo and Shin (Econ Lett 121:411–416, 2013)

are no longer plausible. For the USA, we find significant evidence of the rockets and

feathers effect in the post-crisis period when the data are restricted to March 2013;

however, this effect disappears once the data are extended to June 2017. These findings

suggest that continuous monitoring and other antitrust and consumer welfare policies

are required in these economies to preserve competition and the overall social welfare.